My Predictions On The Future Of Technology

My name is Cruz. I am a sophomore in University of California, Irvine and I am major in Math. I was born in a small town in China. The date of my birth is 27 of July, 1999. I am quiet young, only 19, but I already have the settled goals for my life. I have a happy family with two elder sisters and my parents. They are the real support for me and give the inspiration to go further.

I live by myself and I know how to spent the free time. I like swimming and playing badminton. Despite sport activities, I also do not forget about the food for brain. I like learning languages, and I am keen on Chinese and English. Moreover, my goal is related to the science and computer. I really want to transfer to computer science in the future. Foreseeing a close future is especially dangerous. If you're wrong, they will laugh at you. If you predict the future is far away - you will be dead, and therefore you will be indifferent to criticism. With regard to technology, its development can be more or less accurately predicted over the next few years. Firstly, at least one more stage of miniaturization of chips will take place. This means that smaller devices can develop more power. But at the same time, the price increases - the cost of each transistor can quickly fall, but increasing their number will still lead to an increase in the overall price of devices that are considered necessary in each subsequent generation of computers. On a practical level, this means that we should not expect new manufacturers in the world of hard drive. Today, in order to enter the market, millions are already needed, if not billions of dollars.

In the medium term - from 5 to 15 years - the technology will reach the limit of increasing the power of processors. This is due to the fact that we will soon be in nanotechnology at the level of atoms - and further, unless there is a fundamental leap in technology, there is nowhere to go. The transistor, smaller than the atom, (so far) will not be built. We will reach this limit by 2020. However, you can move in the other direction. Current transistors are two-dimensional. It is possible to add new and new layers of them in the third dimension - in height. But there are problems with the release of heat - you need to take somewhere the heat that will be allocated during the operation of transistors. If not fundamentally new solutions are invented, we can say that the era of extremely rapid growth of power behind. But if it frustrates us, let's turn our attention from hard and look the other way.

I have chosen the sci-fi subgenre, because of the great interest to this genre. For the science fiction novel, the orientation is focused on the high achievements of scientific and technical thought; along with fantastic elements in it there are scientific hypotheses, technical fantasy, thinking experimentation. This choice changed my story enormously, while I was obliged to add the additional data about the science progress.